There’s at least one guy who is pretty optimistic about Donald Trump’s chances in Maryland in November.
The statistics-centric news website FiveThirtyEight features a constantly updated map with projections for each state’s presidential election outcomes. As of this posting, the site has pinned Hillary Clinton’s chances of carrying Maryland at “greater than 99.9 percent.” That’s better odds than the Democratic nominee has even in liberal strongholds like California in New York. In fact, FiveThirtyEight ranks Maryland as her safest state in the union.
But Steve Moore, an economist with the Heritage Foundation and economic adviser to Trump, recently told a crowd of conservative Maryland business owners that he “really believe[s] that Maryland is winnable in November,” referring to the chances of the Republican party’s U.S. Senate and presidential candidates, according to Maryland Reporter.
Moore’s prediction of “a lot of surprises in November” hinges on the existence of critical mass of invisible Trump supporters who have declined to express their true preference in basically every single poll.
Moore can envision more than just an election outcome that defies common sense. He also can somehow imagine a Maryland which is “more like Texas,” shedding its personal income tax.
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